What is the internet doing to the supply chain?

Universal supply chain model

We all know that the internet has had a huge impact on our lives but we seldom give much thought to what this is doing to business relationships and the supply chain.

Traditionally the distribution of products from agriculture and manufacturing would be aggregated by wholesalers who distributed in bulk to retailers who sold goods in suitable package sizes to customers who then have their own micro supply chain to end users within their family or business site.

Manufacturers, wholesalers and farmers did not usually sell direct to the public consumer because they had significant barriers to doing so:

1. They have no relationship with the customer.
2. They could have little market penetration due to limited number of distribution sites.  One or two warehouses full of pallet racking in an industrial park does not make for a pleasing customer experience.
3. They were set up for bulk distribution not the small package supply typical of retail stores.

There have always been odd exceptions to these rules.  We have all stopped at roadside produce stalls next to the farm whilst on a country drive.  Manufacturers often have a seconds outlet attached to the factory or warehouse that sells direct to the public, but that was about it.  So what has the internet done that has changed this?

The internet has eliminated barriers 1 and 2.  The internet allows potentially deep connection and relationship between a manufacturer, or any vendor at any point in the supply chain, and the customer of their products (barrier 1).   This is way beyond anything that an old style mail order catalogue could achieve.  The advent of social media is just extending this connection even further and making it more personal.  

The internet also eliminates the need for physical retail store network.  We no longer need the retailer to explain the product to us.  Now when we walk into a retail store we usually know more than the retailer about the product we want to buy, all they need to do is show it to us and ring up the sale.  If all we are doing is going to the retail store to pick up the products we have already decided to buy, then we may as well have them shipped out to us.  Barrier 2 is now gone.  If retail is going to survive then it needs to have new reasons for existing in addition to physical distribution and product advice.

The third barrier is not impacted by the internet and is the hardest, and usually the last one addressed.  That is the organisational changes required to perform small order distribution direct to customer.  For a manufacturer, wholesaler or agricultural producer this means a fundamental change in business operations, marketing and sales that extends throughout the organisation.  Way beyond simply setting up a website and putting up product information and a shopping cart.  It means going from having only a handful of customers who buy in bulk to many thousands, tens or hundreds of thousands of customers who buy in single units and retail packs.  This means customer service, and sales support, individual marketing strategies, credit card payments, all those customer accounts and interactions when things go wrong. It is a fundamental change in business practice, and if you are not ready for it, you will fail.

The addition of an online D2C channel for a retailer would seem to be a smaller step.  After all they already have the customer relationship and the product range, all they need is a website and a distribution infrastructure.  However the number of large retailers who have been slow to embrace this strategy would indicate that this may be a bigger mental hurdle than a physical or business one.

An online sales strategy also requires a significant change in warehousing infrastructure and technology.  Bulk distribution requires pallet racking, and forklifts and stock pickers to pick pallets and cases.  A single order can have hundreds of lines and fill a semi trailer.  By contrast in a typical direct to customer business 20-30% of your orders will have a single line and ship in a post pack.  This requires a change in warehouse layout, picking methods and technology and freight arrangements.  Failure to invest in the correct warehouse processes and systems to support an online eCommerce based business will result in very high cost per transaction  This will result in either an unprofitable business or an over-priced one that will fail to gain traction in the market.

Although the organisational and operational changes required to run a successful direct to customer online business are not simple, they are not new.  They are really a re-use of existing business systems and strategies in a new context and are achievable by any business that sets its course in this direction.

In the universal supply chain diagram I have highlighted four online Direct To Customer (D2C) channels in use today in addition to the traditional customer pick up channel from the retailer.  So it is now possible for anyone to go direct to the customer.  When you combine this with the rise of contract manufacturing you have a powerful combination - isn't that right Mr Kogan?

I have described here what is possible and happening now in the supply chain. However deciding to go direct to your customers will dramatically change your business model and will of course have an impact on your current downstream distribution channels.  If you are a manufacturer then what will your retailers think if you start shipping direct and how could this damage your business in other ways?  

The classic conundrum here is when the retailers service and support for your products is intimately tied to their distribution of your products.  If you go direct, would you put your retailers (and your product support model) out of business?  Would your retailers (and wholesalers for that matter) find alternative sources of supply to their customers? (remember you may not yet have a well established relationship with your customers).  

You must expect that if you decide to compete against your upstream or downstream supply chain partners that this will have an impact on them and they will develop a competitive response.

For this reason traditional retail still works very well in a lot of industries.  This will likely change as the market gets more used to paying for services that they used to get for free.  We will come to understand that when the cost of support is no longer built into the price of the product, we will have to do it ourselves or pay for it when we need it.  Increasingly we get product knowledge and support much better from online resources or by asking friends.  This is not only free but much better.

We are still in the early stages of online commerce and the impact of the internet on the supply chain, new business models are being developed all the time and there is still a lot of room for innovation and change.  We live in interesting times!

If warehousing, logistics and supply chain are important to your business or your personal career then why not follow this blog by email or on Google+.  To tap in to the full benefits of business and career boosting ideas I suggest you join The Warehouse Performance Initiative.

What if your logistics is already the best? (Part II)

Is collaborative logistics the future?

Yesterday I suggested that you should collaborate* with your competitors to reduce your logistics costs.  If you actually did this what might it look like and where could you take it?

Well it might look like BevChain. Which is a joint venture between Lion Nathan and Linfox.  This is a live example right now of what I am talking about at least in basic principle.  It obviously helps if you start off with a giant like Lion Nathan to kick things along.  

I think the joint venture is the key.  It is not just a venture by Linfox and Lion Nathan is not trying to be a 3PL.  The two together provides the critical volume required to get economies of scale and essential infrastructure and process development that can be sold to other industry players.  I see no reason why the joint venture idea could not be extended to multiple industry suppliers who provide the logistics volume to make a viable business and who also have a stake in the new company and share in the savings.  Indeed the whole thing could be run almost like a co-op to reduce costs to all concerned whilst still providing a return to the 3PL partner.

If you apply some Vested Outsourcing concepts you will ensure that the costs keep going down over time whilst also enhancing the profits for the 3PL partner.  Once you have the basics running well then why not go further up and down the supply chain?  The new industry based logistics company could aggregate demand for common supplies, raw materials or even  stock and buy on behalf of the group.  This would allow them to negotiate better volume discounts and also manage inventory jointly to eliminate multiple safety stocks.  

Managing the total freight task goes without saying, but why not develop a shared services online direct to customer distribution model?  This could be presented to the customer as a category killer single distributor or individually branded mini-sites, but offer to consolidate freight as an incentive to buy across multiple brands.

Of course such a strategy endangers the currently entrenched distributors, and depending on the relative market power differential between maker and distributor, this may or may not be a good strategy.  Generally the theme of the internet age is that the middle man is being squeezed as the makers of products seek direct relationships with their customers.  If the only value you add is a cheap price, someone will eventually find a way to do it cheaper than you.

This idea was developed by DHL with their Pharmacy Supply Model in 2006.  For a while they turned their pharmaceutical pre-wholesale 3PL business into a wholesale distributor and challenged the big three pharmaceutical wholesalers (Sigma, Symbion, API).  The alliance that made it possible with Alphapharm eventually failed and the business could not fulfill its promise, but it was a very innovative idea at the time.

I worked on the DHL Pharmacy Supply project for my first consulting job with Logistics Bureau and it was an extraordinary experience to help develop such a a ground breaking new logistics service.

If the manufacturers and product originators can't or won't develop such a service it leaves the door open for the wholesalers to do essentially the same thing further up the supply chain - if the circumstances are right.  The retail pharmacy supply industry certainly has the right set of conditions for this to occur.  Three wholesalers serving the same market in a highly competitive and increasingly commoditised environment plus a number of smaller distribution operations fragmenting the supply chain.

These are I think the prime conditions to make such a solution possible:

1. A few major players who can reach agreement for a joint venture to pool their logistics operations
2. High competiton with price sensitivity
3. Opportunity to grow by securing some of the remaining logistics and thus make some profit from logistics services that would not otherwise be available to them.

Like all good consultants I have come up with a name for this idea.  I call it the Integrated Collaborative Logistics Service or ICLS for short.  In part III I will discuss some other reasons why I expect to see more of this type of collaborative logistics in future.


* Just in case it is not obvious, the sort of collaboration I am talking about is not anti-competitive or price fixing in anyway. The formation of a joint venture aimed at achieving a low price logistics service does not limit what any of the joint venture partners do with their cost savings.  They can hold on to them to invest in innovative and more profitable business ideas or continue the price war and be back where they started.  I am simply pointing out the next logical step in logistics evolution when a certain set of conditions exist.

If you found this post valuable and then why not subscribe or follow this blog by email?

The Growing World of Online Supply Chain

Online retail sales were only 5% of all retail sales in 2011 according to NAB  and Australia lags behind the rest of the world, (which is unusual for us). The online retail (and online B2B) market is set to grow rapidly over the next few years and whole new supply chains are going to be established and old ones are going to die (or shrink or adapt) as the traditional retail shop supply chain